Simple climate model outperforms IPCC models, CO2 effect miniscule

August 16, 2013

16 Aug (THE HOCKEY SCHTICK) Geoscience professors Dr. Ole Humlum and Dr. Jan-Erik Solheim have described a simple, empirical harmonic climate model that accurately explains global temperature observations since 1850, without incorporating any forcing from man-made CO2 or aerosols.

According to the authors, “What puzzles many is that this model does not have contributions from CO2 and aerosols.” “If we’d had a warming due to CO2, this should appear as a deviation from the simple harmonic model since 1950. There are no signs of any additional heating due to CO2 as the IPCC claims in their reports, thus the assumed CO2 effects in IPCC climate models are exaggerated. The net effect of CO2 is thus so modest that it can not be seen in this data.”

Google translation from Norwegian + light editing, from the geoscience site

A simple empirical harmonic climate model

Jan-Erik Solheim and Ole Humlum  8/5/13  Geoforskning

Jan-Erik Solheim and Ole Humlum describe here a climate model that explains global temperature change since 1850 and gives an indication of trends over the next 20 – 30 years.

In previous posts, we have identified weaknesses in the complex climate models the IPCC uses, and that our government is basing its planning.

The main weakness of these models is that they are unable to predict future climate variations. We have shown that modern climate models are unable to describe the observed climate variations – either in the past or future:

Can we trust climate models? 
Volcanoes and climate models 
Natural variability and climate models

In this post we describe a simple empirical climate model that explains global temperature change since 1850, which gives us an idea of ​​the temperature trend for the next 20-30 years.

Our simple model is based on the fact that a system put in oscillation must continue to oscillate a while before these fluctuations die out. Similarly, fluctuations can be amplified by external influences so that they are maintained over long periods. In the following, we demonstrate a simple harmonic model of the Earth’s global temperature.

Initially, we emphasize that our hypothesis is that different regions of the world have different harmonic periods in its climate response. Adding these up, they will in some cases be in anti-phase and zero each other out, other times they can be in phase and reinforce each other. This will particularly be the case if they are controlled by something outside the Earth. Possible candidates for external control is the moon, the sun and the other planets mass and orbits.

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